Ari Sagherian - Synthos Research

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Ari Sagherian

Sector Breakdown

Sector Breakdown: Where the Cheap Growth Is Hiding (and Where It Isn't)

Synthos Research — Sector Breakdown · The cross-sector screen Every name below is ranked by one question: how cheap is it relative to its own growth and its own trading history? (Forward P/E vs. a 5-year norm, plus PEG — forward P/E divided by forward EPS growth. PEG under

Market Status: No Landing, Sticky Inflation, and a Tape That Won't Quit

Synthos Research — Market Status · The weekly regime read The one-line read: risk assets are climbing a wall of sticky inflation, and our turbulence model says don't chase it. Growth is holding, the labor market is fine, but inflation refuses to finish the job — and the tape is

Company Deep Dives

Circle (CRCL): A Real Theme, a Questionable Vehicle

Synthos Research — Company Deep Dive · Price at analysis: $75.96 · Financials / Stablecoin infrastructure · IPO'd June 2025 The bottom line Synthos rating Exponential Potential 48 / 100 — Limited (growth 99 · quality 16 · expert conviction 25 · moat 35 · optionality 48) 5+ year rating Avoid / Speculative — bullish the theme ≠ bullish this vehicle

Company Deep Dives

Eli Lilly (LLY): A Magnificent Business, Priced for It

Synthos Research — Company Deep Dive · Price at analysis: $1,206.51 · Market cap: $1,136B · Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers The bottom line Synthos rating Exponential Potential 87 / 100 — Exceptional (growth 100 · quality 86 · expert conviction 88 · moat 62 · optionality 91) 5+ year rating Buy — 4/5 conviction (elite business, fair valuation)

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